Blog of the Dragon

Game of Thrones/Song of Ice and Fire news, theories, and other nerdy goodness

Author: vkcole277 (Page 3 of 4)

Algorithm Predicts Game of Thrones Season 6 Deaths: Is Your Favorite on the List?

Do you hate not knowing which characters will be suddenly and brutally taken from you during any given season of Game of Thrones? Students at the Technical University of Munich (TUM) have attempted to take the guesswork out of it using Artificial Intelligence (AI). They developed an algorithm which analyzes online data about the A Song of Ice and Fire books and the Game of Thrones series to predict who will die this year. The entire article is available here.

The accuracy of the algorithm is currently 74%. Below are the predictions for season 6, along with each character’s probability of death. This list is speculative, but if you’d rather not know, stop reading now:

Tommen Baratheon – 97%

Daenerys Targaryen – 96%

Theon Greyjoy – 74%

Arya Stark – 68%

Ramsey Bolton – 64%

Sansa Stark – 3%

I personally think Tommen and Ramsey are the most likely to happen this season. Theon would be my next guess. I find it very hard to believe Daenerys wouldn’t make it to the final season; that one seems like quite a stretch. Arya will probably die before the end, but not until next year; Sansa seems to be pretty safe for now.

What do you think? Do you believe any of these characters will die this year? Are there any others you feel should be on the hit list?

 

Will Davos Seaworth Unite the North?

With just 3 days left until the Game of Thrones season 6 premiere, I will focus on a character who should have a large part to play in the first episode (and the season as a whole). As usual, please note that my speculation is largely based upon filming news, released footage, and The Winds of Winter sample chapters. Stop reading now if you want to remain Unsullied.

Davos Seaworth in A Song of Ice and Fire

In A Dance with Dragons, Davos was last seen at White Harbor and assumed to be going to find Rickon Stark on Skagos. I think he will eventually find Osha and Rickon, and convince them that they will be safe at White Harbor, or perhaps another loyal northern house.

Davos will likely stay with them, as the coming winter will make travel difficult. I think Stannis will eventually be defeated or killed, but the Stark loyalists will ultimately win back the North from the Boltons. However, without Stannis to follow, perhaps Davos will be forced to go find the one leader who understands the real threat to Westeros – Jon.

Davos is loyal and trustworthy, so whether Jon becomes King in the North or even the Seven Kingdoms, Davos would be an excellent advisor to have by his side. I think he will be key in helping Jon rally Westeros to his side. Without allies, they will not be able to stop the Others.

If Davos survives the battles to come – and if peace is returned to Westeros – I think he will finally go back home to his family, knowing his has done his duty in defense of the realm.

Davos Seaworth in Game of Thrones

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It’s clear from the footage we’ve been given and the amount of publicity Liam Cunningham has done on behalf of the show, that Davos will have a huge role to play this season. He and Melisandre will find Jon’s body and protect it from the mutineers.

I’m not sure if Davos will be involved in resurrecting Jon, but he will become his key advisor and emissary. He will be sent out to find loyal northern houses to help defeat the Boltons. Once they are dispatched, the north can focus on the true threat of the White Walkers.

I’m not sure if his story will follow the books from here, but I think it likely Davos will die on the show. Hopefully it will be a noble sacrifice and a hero’s death – that’s the least he deserves.

Another AleHorn Giveaway!

If you didn’t win Alehorn’s Game of Thrones sigil tankards in their last contest, don’t give up! They are now offering sigil tumblers and plates, and they are giving away one of each engraved with the house of your choice! You can enter here.

The tumblers and plates are also available for purchase, although the original tankards are currently sold out. They have several other products available for purchase via Amazon.com.

Cheers, and good luck!

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Is Sansa Finally Becoming a Player in the Game of Thrones?

Just one week to go until the Game of Thrones premiere, so I will attempt a few more character predictions before the season starts. As with the others, if you don’t want to hear speculation based upon released season 6 footage, filming news, or The Winds of Winter sample chapters please stop reading now.

Sansa Stark in A Song of Ice and Fire

Sansa’s fate in the books is difficult to guess. As of A Dance with Dragon, she is still in the Vale with Petyr Baelish who is scheming to marry her to Harrold Hardyng (the heir to the Eyrie if Robert Arryn dies). There is a possibility that she either won’t marry Harrold or that he will die, leaving her free to make another alliance – maybe Aegon Targaryen (this is the subject of the Ashford Tourney theory). I don’t think she will ultimately end up with either of them, becoming either the Queen of the North or acting as regent for Rickon if he is found.

I believe she will reunite with Jon at some point – perhaps at Winterfell once he defeats the Boltons. Sansa will likely be instrumental in Littlefinger’s demise, because she is the maiden who slays a giant in a castle of snow according to the prophecy of the Ghost of High Heart (theory is here).

Beyond that, I don’t know what fate will befall Sansa. Will she survive to the end of the story? Will she reunite with her first husband and become the Lady of Casterly Rock? Will she marry someone else entirely? I can’t decide, but I’m leaning toward her dying before the end.

Sansa Stark in Game of Thrones

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It’s a little easier to determine her storyline on the show. From the trailer, we can see her running with Theon as they are pursued by Bolton men. It looks as though Brienne will save them, and Sansa will probably take refuge with one of the northern lords.

When she hears about Jon’s resurrection and the impending battle with the Boltons, she will involve herself in the conflict. The Boltons will be defeated, and she will order Ramsay’s execution (and possibly Littlefinger’s – they were all seen filming at Winterfell). Jon may have been offered the lordship of Winterfell by this point, but he won’t take what belongs to Sansa (or Rickon if he is back in the picture).

Sansa, Jon, and Davos will likely be key to uniting the north in the face of the White Walker threat. Perhaps she will marry a northern lord to cement an alliance, or someone from another region to bring in more support.

What do you think will happen to her? Whatever the outcome, her story seems to be taking a very interesting and exciting turn.

 

 

 

 

 

 

New Liam Cunningham interview; Benioff and Weiss on Final Seasons and Their Hatred of Spoilers

Liam Cunningham (Davos Seaworth) has been quite busy promoting Game of Thrones Season 6. In a new interview with IGN he promises plenty of “death and destruction” and says “the guillotine swings quite heavily” this year. He also discusses new character alliances, the pressing threat facing Westeros, and starting the journey toward the end of the series. Read the entire interview here.

Game of Thrones’ Showrunners Considering Shortened Runs for Seasons 7 and 8

Speaking of the end of the series, creators David Benioff and Dan Weiss speculate to Variety that the final two seasons may be shorter than the standard 10 episodes we’ve enjoyed thus far. “I think we’re down to our final 13 episodes after this season. We’re heading into the final lap,” Benioff is quoted as saying. “That’s the guess, though nothing is yet set in stone, but that’s what we’re looking at.”

Although those numbers were later clarified as being “premature,” it’s likely that we won’t get 2 more full seasons. Benioff and Weiss said that producing 10 full episodes given the scope of the show is becoming problematic.

While I definitely don’t want to see this happen (10 hours per season never seems like enough to me), I also don’t want the quality of the show to suffer, or the ending to drag out longer than necessary just to fill a quota. That being said, the already incredibly long offseason would be even longer. Thankfully there will be plenty of filming news/leaks/speculation to hold us over…

Benioff and Weiss Despise Spoilers

Of course, if the showrunners had their way, they would keep us in the dark as much as possible. EW reports that the Game of Thrones creators go to great lengths to keep things under wraps and preserve the element of surprise for the fans. Dan Weiss believes “any sane person would admit that knowing this stuff in advance lessens the experience of watching it, and yet people are really hungry to find out things that that will make something they presumably like worse for them. So I don’t totally get it.”

David Benioff agrees. He insinuates that while people sneakily capturing pictures during filming are crazy, the spoiler seekers are crazier. “The idea that people want to go to sites and find out those spoilers … it’s like if there was a website called Last Pages of Great Books, would you read that?”

My personal belief is that every care should be taken not to inadvertently spoil anything unless someone is specifically looking for it. During the waits between book releases and during the show offseason, I search for every bit of news I can find. If there are a few spoilers, it doesn’t ruin anything for me – a good story doesn’t become less enjoyable even if you know how it ends.

I love the guessing and speculation that comes with spoiler territory. If anything, it heightens my excitement for what’s to come.

 

 

 

New House Stark and Lannister Steins!

Prepare to toast the Game of Thrones premiere in style with a House Stark or House Lannister stein! These beautiful 22 oz steins feature a ceramic base with the Stark or Lannister sigil and house words, and pewter tops fashioned into the Baratheon crown. They are officially licensed by HBO and available for purchase on Amazon.com, so you should have them in plenty of time for your premiere party. IMG_2354.JPG

I’m partial to House Stark of course. Which is your favorite?

Will Tyrion Lannister Win the Game of Thrones?

Another day, another character prediction. The speculation below is partly based on filming news, released season 6 footage, and Tyrion’s sample chapter from The Winds of Winter – if you want to be like Jon Snow and know nothing, stop reading now.

Tyrion Lannister in A Song of Ice and Fire

Tyrion’s story in A Dance with Dragons ended with him joining the Second Sons, with the intention of having them switch their alliance back to Daenerys before the siege of Meereen by the Yunkish forces. In his sample chapter from The Winds of Winter, we learn that the Ironborn ships have arrived, the dragons are flying over the battle, and the Second Sons are indeed “Queen’s men” again. I think Dany’s forces will defeat the Yunkai’i, and that Tyrion will take a hand in governing the city until Daenerys returns (paralleling his arc on the show).

At the end of his sample chapter a white cyvasse dragon falls at his feet, and he picks it up – could this be foreshadowing Viserion being injured and nursed back to health by Tyrion? If so, there is a good possibility Tyrion may be able to ride him.

Eventually I believe Daenerys will return, take him into her service, and make plans to sail to Westeros with the Ironborn. Tyrion will likely play a key role in keeping her out of Euron’s clutches and helping her maneuver the situation with “Aegon.” Since we know there will be a second Dance of the Dragons, Tyrion may help her discover his true identity.

I think Tyrion will be instrumental in forging an alliance with a resurrected Jon to battle the Others. Given their past relationship and the respect Tyrion has for him, he should be able to convince Daenerys that there a genuine threat and that Jon will be an important person to have by her side. It’s possible that Tyrion may die before the end of the story, but I feel he may end up as Lord of Casterly Rock and/or Hand to the eventual ruler of Westeros.

Lastly, there is a theory that Tyrion is a Targaryen – that he is the bastard son of Aerys and Joanna. There is a good summary of the hints in the text here. I’m not sure I believe it, but I don’t think it can be completely refuted either. I don’t know that it will ever be revealed to us, or that it will matter to the story. However, there would be a certain poetic justice in Tyrion inheriting Casterly Rock if it were indeed true.

Tyrion Lannister in Game of Thrones

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Tyrion will probably keep the peace in Meereen for a time, but Dany being gone will embolden the Sons of the Harpy, and tensions will mount. Problems within the city, and threats coming from outside, will erupt into conflict. We see from trailers that Tyrion looks like he will release the dragons, and they will unleash fire and blood on the city before Daenerys returns.

As with Jon and Daenerys, I think his storyline on the show will largely follow the remaining books from here. Since the fates of these three will probably be intertwined, they wouldn’t be able to deviate too much from the main thrust of their stories. I think Tyrion will be instrumental in shaping the future of Westeros, and I’m excited to see how it plays out on the page and the screen.

What are your thoughts about Tyrion? Is he a central player in the great game?

 

 

 

 

New Game of Thrones Trailer! (Updated)

Coming on the heels of the Game of Thrones season 6 red carpet premiere in Los Angeles last night is a newly released trailer! Be warned that there is some exciting new (spoilery?) footage, so watch at your own risk.

Jon still dead, HUGE Drogon possibly getting ready to roast some Dothraki, Arya getting a new face(?), Sansa looking very Queen of the North, Freys!, Davos on the battlefield, the White Walker threat looming over Westeros, and Tyrion releasing the dragons(?). Call me sufficiently hyped. April 24th can’t get here quickly enough!

Update – History of Westeros and Watchers on the Wall have posted scene by scene breakdowns of the above trailer, and HBO has released 3 new clips:

The hype train is going full speed ahead this week!

To Watch or Not to Watch?

The Game of Thrones season 6 premiere is rapidly approaching – just over 2 weeks to go! – and I know many book readers have decided to skip this season in favor of waiting for The Winds of Winter to be released. I definitely understand the desire to see some of the big cliffhangers from A Dance with Dragons resolved on the page rather than the screen, but I can’t wait to see how things play out this year.

There has definitely been a divergence between the A Song of Ice and Fire novels and Game of Thrones. The main thrust of the story will likely be the same, but many of the side plots and stories have changed. I don’t think seeing the TV adaptation will in any way ruin my appreciation and love for the remaining novels once they are released. The books contain so many wonderful details that unfortunately don’t make it into the show.

My biggest reason for tuning in is that I have been waiting 5 long years to find out what happens to Jon Snow (since finishing A Dance with Dragons in 2011). Ideally The Winds of Winter would have revealed his fate to me before the show, but unfortunately that wasn’t to be. I (along with the majority of book readers and plenty of show watchers) believe he will be back with a huge role to play in the remainder of the series, and I think it will be exciting to see.

On that note, Carice van Houten (Melisandre) and Liam Cunningham (Davos Seaworth) have been heavily promoting season 6, and it appears that their characters will have a significant impact on the storyline this year. Carice has stated in The Telegraph that Melisandre will be insecure and having a crisis of faith in the wake of Stannis’s death, and has previously mentioned she has a “pivotal” role this year. Liam teases new alliances, shocking developments, and that the first episode (titled “The Red Woman”) is “astonishing.” Liam’s latest interview on Conan contained an extended version of a clip from the trailer:

It certainly seems that something huge will be taking place at Castle Black early on, and if it’s Jon’s resurrection I would rather watch it happen on Game of Thrones than read about online after the fact. After reading filming reports last year, seeing the teasers and trailers, and reading cast interviews my excitement level is reaching an all time high. These last 15 days of waiting are going be tough!

Are you planning to watch this year? What are your expectations for season 6?

Will Daenerys Targaryen Ever Conquer Westeros?

Time for another character prediction!

Daenerys Targaryen in A Song of Ice and Fire

At the end of A Dance with Dragons, Daenerys is lost and trying to find her way back to Meereen. She encounters Khal Jhaqo’s khalasar with Drogon at her side. I believe they will want to take her to Vaes Dothrak to take her place among the Dosh Khaleen, as that is the proper place for a khal’s widow. If Dany remembers Quaithe’s words (“to go forward, you must go back”), she may decide to willingly go with them.

Drogon will likely not accompany her, as he seems content to remain close to his “home,” but I do think he will appear at Vaes Dothrak and provide a show of strength that will unite the khalasars to follow Daenerys. She will lead them back to Meereen to bolster her defenses, and they will help defeat the Yunkish forces.

Daenerys will make arrangements for others to take over ruling Meereen so that she can return to Westeros. Victarion’s fleet will have arrived at the city, and she will use him to get her home. He will probably be killed trying to gain control of one of her dragons.

Once back in Westeros, Daenerys will come into conflict with Aegon (likely a Blackfyre) when she realizes he is the mummer’s dragon from the House of the Undying vision and Quaithe’s warning. I think she will ultimately win (dragons), but it will be devastating for Westeros.

At some point Daenerys will learn of the threat the Others pose, and head north with her dragons. Beyond that, it’s hard to predict what her fate will be. Perhaps she will die in battle, or she may be involved in helping Jon forge a peace with the Others (which is the only way I think the conflict will end).

Daenerys Targaryen in Game of Thrones

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Dany’s show arc will likely be very similar to her storyline in A Song of Ice and Fire, although condensed. There doesn’t seem to be any plan to cast Victarion, but they may send Euron to her in his place. I think instead of warring with Aegon, she will fight directly with the Lannister forces in King’s Landing (or what’s left of them if they go to war with Dorne, the Faith, and possibly the Tyrells).

Ultimately she will end up heading north, as evidenced by the show version of the House of the Undying sequence in which she envisions herself at the Wall. I believe the books and the show will have a similar ending for her character, whatever that may be.

What do you think? Will she die a hero’s death, reign as Queen of the Seven Kingdoms, or have a completely different fate?

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